iowa primary

With the first Republican primary election running in Iowa, here is a first reminder of my previous post on style and substance:

He is just an honest man.

And that’s something we need now in this day and time.

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style and substance

A sentence to remember for next year’s presidential election, found on Jason Volack’s blog for ABC News:

Like most aspects of running a national political campaign, style often outweighs substance.

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failure of the tea party

Judge Andrew Napolitano reminds us of the failure of the 2010 Tea Party movement:

Government is not a jobs program and government is not your caretaker. Government is an arrangement made by free individuals to protect their rights and their property. And it does not take $3.6 trillion a year to do that effectively in America today.

We must swallow the bitter pill of austerity now on our own terms, while we are still the undisputed leader of the free world and while we still have a Constitution.

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tea party 11

So far, all Republican candidates for 2012 have tumbled within weeks. Except for Mitt Romney, only Dr. Ron Paul has kept a two-digit share in the surveys. Recently, his supporters launched another impressive money bomb campaign, called Tea Party 11:

The closest we have to a Founding Father.

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veterans’ choice

In about one year from now, the United States will hold the next presidential election. And as we all know, the country does not only face severe economic trouble but it is also engaged in three wars. With thousands of American soldiers stationed abroad, in constant danger of death, it might be a reasonable thought to pay some attention to the following figure:

Military Donation Receipts

By and large, those people who know what war is like, choose Congressman Ron Paul as their candidate for the upcoming presidential election. Recently, two veterans also decided to participate in one of Paul’s TV ads:

It takes a veteran to understand a veteran.

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grassroots

One of the buzzwords of the upcoming 2012 election campaign in the United States is grassroots. Since President Obama in 2008 (wrongly) touted himself as a candidate to win the presidential election with grassroots support, all new hopefuls try to show off with their grassroots support.

That in mind, it is interesting to watch the documentation For Liberty, which reveals how Republican candidate Ron Paul, a key figure of the Tea Party movement, got enormous grassroots support in 2008. The film offers some unique insights into how political campaigns are actually organized.

In addition, the documentation also emphasizes how mainstream media manipulate reports and images. In this regard, the video is similar to what John Steward highlighted a few weeks ago.

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rick perry’s past

Rick Perry has just taken the lead among Republican presidential candidates. However, his past might severely hamper his 2012 campaign as Ron Paul’s new commercial points out:

Now America must decide who to trust. Al Gore’s Texas cheerleader, or the one who stood with Reagan.

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liberty 2012

A few months ago, I talked about Ron Paul’s record of predicting America’s economic problems. Now, some of his supporters have come up with yet another great commercial:

Liberty is the only humanitarian system.

Observing one Republican hopeful resigning after the other, and media paying more attention to Paul’s campaign, we might see him much more often in 2012. Already, his ideas have become the message of most other Republican candidates, including front-runner Rick Perry.

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more attention

Seems like John Steward’s comment on media ignoring Ron Paul has actually caused some newspapers, magazines, and TV channels to recognize Paul as one of the top Republican candidates for the 2012 presidential election.

Yesterday, even Fox News broadcasted a full 15-minute interview with Congressman Ron Paul:

Fox News Video – Media Ignoring Ron Paul?

In a match-up with President Obama you are now basically even! Question: Why are you gaining such traction this year?

Because it’s a good idea and it’s the American idea. But I am fascinated with your word ‘unconventional’. Isn’t it strange that we can apply that term to freedom, liberty, the constitution, limited government, and a balanced budget?

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2012 election

About four months ago, I wrote about which candidates are likely to play an important role in the 2012 presidential election. Much has happened since, so it might be worthwhile to revisit Intrade’s share prices:

Barack Obama 51.4 percent (previously 58.3)
Rick Perry 19.1 percent
Mitt Romney 13.0 percent (12.5)
Jon Huntsman 4.5 percent
Ron Paul 3.4 percent (2.1)
Sarah Palin 2.7
Hillary Clinton 2.3
Michele Bachman 1.7

We observe that President Obama has already lost about seven percentage points although the GOP is still far from having a clear candidate. This drop could be explained by America’s downgrade and ongoing high unemployment rates.

Among Republican hopefuls, Rick Perry has surged to become the new front runner. Mitt Romney’s chance meanwhile has not changed much. Ranked third and forth, Huntsman and Paul are still trying to get more attention and support.

With regard to other candidates we notice that some of those potential candidates that were relatively strong in April are already out of the race. Among these are Donald Trump (in April 4.8 percent), Tim Pawlenty (6.0 percent), or Mitch Daniels (3.2 percent).

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